12 June 

- send bio

- use HF earthquake as hazard example

- develop talk using powerpoint(?)

- Introduction
  - major earthquakes
  - 500+ potentially damaging earthquakes
  - 70% probability for SFBR in next 30 years
  - 1868 Haywards earthquake
  - HF earthquake is one of the greatest hazards in the nation

- The Earthquake Threat 

  - Executive Summary

  - Scenario Earthquake
    - Description
    - Predicted Effects
      - Fault Rupture
        - Length
        - Offset
      - Shaking Intensity
        - Severity
        - Areal Extent
        - Short Period Motion Effects
        - Long Period Motion Effects
      - Ground Failures
        - Ground Breakage
        - Liquefaction
        - Seismically Induced Landslides
    - The Earthquake Impact
      - Casualty Estimates
      - Structures
        - Hospitals
        - Public Schools
      - Transportation Lifelines
        - Trans-Bay Bridges
        - Major Freeway Routes
        - Airports
        - BART
        - Railroads
        - Port Facilities
      - Utility Lifelines
        - Communications
        - Electrical Power
        - Water Supply
        - Waste Water
        - Natural Gas
        - Petroleum Refineries and Products
        - Lifeline Corridors
    - Characteristics of the Scenario Earthquake (P 53)
    - Likelihood of the Event
    - 
   



- Intro
  - 1868 Haywards earthquake
  - great 1906 SF earthquake
  - elastic rebound theory
  - intensity
  - magnitude
  - location
  - NHF major earthquake scenario (CDMG SP-87)

- Figures
  - Map
  - Prob
  - Intensity
  - Magnitude
  - Location
  - Statistics

- References

Steinbrugge K. et al., Earthquake Planning Scenario for a Magnitude 7.5
Earthquake on the Hayward Fault in the San Francisco Bay Area, CDMG
Special Publication 78, 1987.

http://quake.usgs.gov/research/seismology/wg99/

- Appendices

  - MMI Intensity
  - ML
  - SFBR Eq Prob